What is the most likely attack on the street?

What is the most likely attack going to be on the street? That is the big question. And do you practise counters to it? In theory, you should spend the greatest amount of time training for the most likely attack you may come up against rather than less likely attacks.

The last poll that was held here on this blog was titled, 'What is the most likely attack on the street?' From the Poll, 9% said edged weapon, 18% said multiple attackers and both King Hit and Blindside had 36% a piece. This Poll and the mixed responses was the catalyst in starting a series utilising statistics from large bodies of people.

Use of Statistics

The following will be the first in a series of a close look at statistics from around the world and what they can teach us about what is happening out there. This information can assist us in having a realistic perspective on threats and higher threat environments.

This first post in the series utilises statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The ABS is a government body that collects statistics from a wide range of economic and social matters, serving government, business and the general population. It is Australia's premier statistics body.

It is likely that results from one western country will be similar to others. However, in future posts, statistics from other countries will be used and comparisons made.

Differentiating Assault and Robbery

Separate results will be shown below for both Assault and Robbery in order to differentiate between these two very different threats. See my previous post on the Alpha Male v Predatory Threats for a more detailed explanation of the difference in Alpha Male v Predatory attacks and how that ties into human combative behaviour at a fundamental level.

All that is needed to know at this stage, is that Assault and Robbery are two very different things generally committed by two very different types of people.

Most victims by age group

  • Assault, 25-34yrs,
  • Robbery, 15-19yrs.

So already, we can see that younger, easier prey, are targeted in Robbery, whereas the older 25-34yr olds, are more likely to become victims in Alpha male, or Assault type encounters.

Did offender know the victim?

  • Assault, 47.3% of offenders did not know the victim,
  • Robbery, 70% of offenders did not know the victim.

A clear distinction here. It is quite possible to know your attacker in some way in the event of Assault whereas in the event of a Robbery, you most likely will not know the attacker.

Multiple Attackers?

For both Assault and Robbery, you are most likely going to be attacked by just one person.

However, of interest, for both Assault and Robbery, you are more likely to face three or more attackers than just two attackers! Something to be aware of for sure.

Location of Attack

  • Assault- Pretty close for location of assault being between work, home, place of entertainment (including car park) and on the street,
  • Robbery- By far, the most likely location is on the street or other open land.

Assault doesn't just happen on the street or at a night venue. It is just as likely to happen when you are at work or even at home. That is, unless you spend a lot of time at night venues or places of entertainment. It is important to take this on board so as not to be surprised by it happening in other places. No real surprises here regarding Robbery.

Weapon Use

For both Assault and Robbery, mostly no weapon is used though it is trending more towards weapon use each year. Of all weapons being used, the knife is the most likely.

Summary

The weakness with using statistics lie in the fact that they are taken from a wide range of people. Like has been mentioned, if you spend more time than is average at entertainment venues and go out regularly on weekends, your chances of becoming involved in either Assault or Robbery go up.

On the flipside to that, we can actively do things to minimise our chances of becoming victims of crime. That is what Self Protection is all about and these statistics can ensure our understanding on what is happening out there is based on reality. Statistics is but one way of doing this.

The second part of the series is about U.S. Stats on Assault and Robbery and touches on the similarities noted between the two continents. At this stage it appears that Assault and Robbery have some common fundamental aspects to them. Check out the above link.

What are your views and opinions on these statistics? Are there any surprises? Comment below.